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U.S. energy prices are greatly affected by industry demand. The higher the demand for fuel, the more expensive it becomes. Although the economic climate of 2009 should have reduced U.S. energy prices, growing demand for crude oil in other countries has kept the price much higher than is desirable.

In between the late seventies up to 2004, the oil consumption rose by 28.6%. This year’s increase in China was 25.8%. The demand in South Korea skyrocketed over this time by 344%. It’s hard to believe that before the turn of the 21st century, the cost for a barrel of oil was $12. Today it has risen to around $70.

The price of crude oil directly influences the cost of other fuels. Whether it be for production or generation, crude oil and other fossil fuels are vital to electricity, gasoline, and petroleum. Although oil prices dropped in the first half of 2009, due to a fall in consumption of 1.25 million barrels a day, the price will rise again in 2010 as industry recovers from the recession and demand begins to rise once more.

However, you will see a drop again around the latter part of 2009. When we reach the increase though, you can expect to see a rise of 40c per gallon on gasoline. Even though this will be a major cost increase throughout each month, the good news is there will be a slight decline in the electricity side of things.

Even though the economy is unstable, the U.S energy costs will be even more uncertain. If small businesses and other companies can no long afford their production, then the demand will become lower. This usually occurs when fuel prices reach a threshold that is considered to be too high. Even though this can seem like a downfall, the industry will be able to pick back up again. It’s basically a balance between crude oil sales and the industry having to rely on one another. Once the crude oil prices pick up though, it’s only a matter of time before the fuel prices do as well.

The first half of 2009 saw a substantial fall in electricity consumption, in the U.S. Electricity sales declined as businesses and residential properties cut back to save money. An uncertain economic climate was responsible for a 4.4% decrease in comparison with 2008. However, the second half of 2009 was more positive. The decline leveled out at a less significant 2.3% decrease in electricity consumption. U.S. energy prices should remain low in the fourth quarter of 2009 before steadily rising again next year as industry improves and the economy settles. Electricity prices are not exempt from this, with estimated declines of 2% in 2010.

When anyone discusses U.S. energy prices, the mention of the economy is soon to follow. It’s safe to say that the recession is far from over, and could take at least another year for positive turnarounds. However, as long as there is uncertainty in the financial industry, it’s hard to say when this increase will actually take place.

Crude oil prices seem to try to preempt the economy at every step of the way. When figures were released to suggest that the U.S. economy was recovering, prices jumped up, boosting the retail price of gasoline and petroleum. However, these prices dropped again almost immediately as it was made clear that a select amount of data was not the go ahead for a stable economy. For instance, although unemployment benefit claims have declined, the levels of unemployment at still not at a healthy level. While the economy recovers, U.S. energy prices will remain volatile.

With the lowered demand for energy, fuel stockpiles are much higher than expected. This is lowering the price, as more is available. Natural gas, for example, has stockpiles close to reaching a 5-year high. It will be a long time before demand outstrips supply once more and prices will significantly rise. However, while prices remain low, industry should be encouraged and the economy will be on its way to recovery.

For now, the U.S. energy prices have declined thanks to the lack of demand. While lower prices are great, the constant fluctuation around the world will continue this crazy roller coaster. So when 2010 rolls around expect to see an increase in gas prices, but in the meantime enjoy the lower prices.

Author: Jerry Dyess has been in the Commercial Energy business for the past 7 years. Get more information on Business Electric rates.